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Table 4 Rates of cancer in mutation-negative relatives in BRCA1/2 families.

From: Evidence That BRCA1- or BRCA2-Associated Cancers Are Not Inevitable

Reference

Number of patients mutation negative

Relationship to mutation carrier

Length of follow-up

Breast and other cancer risk (CI) and comments

33

1,492

FDR

Mean 6.1 years, followed up to age 75

Standardized incidence ratio (SIR) 4.3 Ovarian and colon cancer risks were slightly below normal

60

104

FDR/SDR

Median 8 years

SIR 2.9 (1.0–8.6)

61

11,378

FDR

NA

Relative risk (RR) 0.39 (0.04–3.8); substantial risk heterogeneity High-risk women account for only 3.4% of the female populations in three countries studied, but 32% of all breast cancer cases; uses a constant value for risk of carriers; assumes one additional latent gene to account for all risk

62

184

FDR

NA

SIR 5.0

63

395

FDR/SDR/TDR

Entry at 31.3 years followed for average of 17.7 years to age 48; third-degree relative to age 41

For FDR, SIR 1.33 (0.49–2.91); all RR = 0.75 (0.34–1.41); assumptions about oophorectomy

64

130.5

FDR

Diagnosis before age 50

Odds ratio (OR) 2

65

442

FDR/SDR

Median 6.1 years

SIR 1.29 (0.58–2.88); excluded 400 women with a prior cancer diagnosis

66

375

FDR/SDR mostly

Median age 44 mean follow up 4.9 years

SIR 2.3 (0.57–9.19) for in situ breast cancer

67

3,742

FDR

NA

OR 1.6 (1.2–2.1)

  1. FDR/SDR/TDR, first-/second-/third-degree relatives; NA, not specified.